MILDER WEATHER MOVES BACK INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS WEEKEND… SATURDAY LOOKS GREAT FOR LATE JANUARY… SUNDAY WILL BE WET AND THE WET WEATHER MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY… WILL WE SEE THE WHITE STUFF ON TUESDAY?

The combination of high pressure moving offshore and an approaching cold front is pumping in mild air from the south on this Saturday. Temperatures should peak around 60 degrees. Clouds will slowly be increasing later Saturday. Showers begin to move into SE VA later Saturday night. Showers become widespread on Sunday and some moderate to heavy rainfall is possible in some locations, especially as we head into Sunday night. Low pressure is expected to develop to our south and west and move up along the cold front that will be slowly moving offshore. It slowly dries out on Monday, but the slow moving system may keep it wet during the morning hours. Then, as colder air moves in later Monday and Tuesday, an upper-level system may bring snow showers to the region on Tuesday. Accumulations are possible, but it is too early to nail down any specifics. At the present time, it looks like a minor snow event but with temperatures in the low to mid thirties, any snow that falls may stick. As we know, it doesn’t take a heavy snowfall here in Hampton Roads to create issues on our area roadways. So, monitor the situation as it gets closer. Rainfall amounts are expected to be one to two inches Sunday through Monday. After the cold spell early next week, temperatures are expected to get milder later in the week. However, another Arctic air mass may affect our region next weekend. The front may bring more precipitation next Friday or Saturday. That’s it for now. Have a great weekend!

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A MAJOR CHANGE TO THE WEATHER PATTERN IS COMING BY MID-WEEK… MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY

After a benign period of weather the past few weeks, things are about to change in a big way. By Thursday, December 7th, temperatures are expected to be well below normal here in the Mid-Atlantic States as a strong cold front will usher in much colder air. There is going to be a warmup prior to the front early in the week. A change in the upper-level wind configuration is expected to produce a large trough over the eastern half of the nation. This is a dip in the jet stream that will bring down colder air. For the last few weeks, the upper-level winds have been basically blowing west to east which resulted in a very quiet and dry weather pattern. Showers are expected to accompany the cold front as it moves through the region on Wednesday. This should be the first significant rainfall for the Hampton Roads area in several weeks. Areas well to our north and west may see some snowflakes as the precipitation ends. I checked the longer range projections and it appears as of now that temperatures are expected to remain at or below normal for quite some time in the Northeast and parts of the Mid-Atlantic States. Only time will tell whether that forecast is correct. There is a chance as the front stalls well to our south and east that a low pressure area will develop by the weekend bringing another period of rain but that is not a certainty as of now.  So, enjoy the pleasant autumn weather this weekend and early next week! Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT SHOULD BRING US A RATHER WET SUNDAY… AFTER A BRIEF COOL SPELL, WE SHOULD WARM BACK UP LATER NEXT WEEK

The weekend is off to a great start. After a cool morning, temperatures will warm to the low to mid 70’s today (Saturday). Yesterday, I had to scrape frost from my car for the first time this season. Although the actual low air temperatures were above freezing here in VA Beach, some surfaces, such as the metal surfaces of vehicles, dropped to below freezing levels causing the frost.

We’ve had a stretch of really nice weather, which is typical for October. The combination of a cold front approaching from the west, a developing low pressure system, and a flow of moisture from the south is expected to bring us showers on Sunday. Rainfall amounts are expected to be around a half inch. Some areas may get more and some less. The further north and east you are the more likely that you will see heavier amounts of rainfall. The Northeastern states are forecast to see quite a storm, as the low pressure system is expected to deepen rapidly (or bomb out). Winds are expected to be an issue in that area and rainfall may be excessive in some places. The trough associated with this system is expected to become negatively tilted. Another factor is a developing tropical cyclone, which at the time of this writing, is located south of western Cuba. It is expected to move towards the Bahamas and then out to sea. Had this system fully phased with the complex frontal system, it could have been much worse.

We’ll see cooler and drier weather early next week. The weather on Halloween looks great for the young ones. No significant rain is expected in Hampton Roads on Tuesday. We should warm up later in the week.

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY, SHOWERS AND EVEN A THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION… COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOLLOWS THE FRONTAL PASSAGE

For those of you who enjoy warmer weather, we here in Hampton Roads, have another couple of days of above normal temperatures. Then, a cold front will be approaching later Monday night bringing with it a period of rain/showers. Some heavy rain is possible and there is even a chance of a thunderstorm on Tuesday. The best chance of rain at this point is later Monday night into Tuesday morning. Cooler and less humid weather moves into the region behind the frontal passage. We should have a another rain-free period after Tuesday that should extend into next weekend.

The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now. Hurricane season ends on 30 November, so we still have to be vigilant. However, the chances of tropical cyclone development decrease every day.

That’s it for now.

 

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HURRICANE JOSE SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD JUST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST… ANOTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMED MARIA MAY BE AN ISSUE FOR PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN

As of Sunday afternoon, Hurricane Jose is not expected to have a major impact on the Hampton Roads area. However, some stronger winds and maybe some showers/rain on the storm’s western edge may affect parts of the region. High waves, rip tides will be the major impacts of this storm. Late Monday night and Tuesday morning should be when Maria is closest to the area as it moves northward well offshore. Parts of Long Island and Southeastern New England need to keep a very close eye on this storm.

Tropical Storm Maria is one system to watch as it heads into the Leeward Islands this week. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane and it could become a major hurricane in a few days. This could be a very serious situation since some of these islands were devastated by Hurricane Irma. It may impact the U.S., but it is way too early to make any predictions. It all depends how Jose affects the western portion of the large high pressure system that is steering the storm to the north.  It is very possible that Maria could turn north after it passes through the Leeward Islands. However, it could just as easily continue west-northwest just north of the Dominican Republic and that would be an ominous track, especially after following on the heels of Hurricane Irma. And of course, if it makes a direct hit on this mountainous island, the storm will weaken. A weaker storm normally moves more westward that an intense hurricane in this part of the world.

So, please pay close attention to the future track of Maria.

Thanks for reading.

 

 

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