HURRICANE JOSE SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD JUST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST… ANOTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMED MARIA MAY BE AN ISSUE FOR PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN

As of Sunday afternoon, Hurricane Jose is not expected to have a major impact on the Hampton Roads area. However, some stronger winds and maybe some showers/rain on the storm’s western edge may affect parts of the region. High waves, rip tides will be the major impacts of this storm. Late Monday night and Tuesday morning should be when Maria is closest to the area as it moves northward well offshore. Parts of Long Island and Southeastern New England need to keep a very close eye on this storm.

Tropical Storm Maria is one system to watch as it heads into the Leeward Islands this week. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane and it could become a major hurricane in a few days. This could be a very serious situation since some of these islands were devastated by Hurricane Irma. It may impact the U.S., but it is way too early to make any predictions. It all depends how Jose affects the western portion of the large high pressure system that is steering the storm to the north.  It is very possible that Maria could turn north after it passes through the Leeward Islands. However, it could just as easily continue west-northwest just north of the Dominican Republic and that would be an ominous track, especially after following on the heels of Hurricane Irma. And of course, if it makes a direct hit on this mountainous island, the storm will weaken. A weaker storm normally moves more westward that an intense hurricane in this part of the world.

So, please pay close attention to the future track of Maria.

Thanks for reading.

 

 

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LABOR DAY WEEKEND IN HAMPTON ROADS STARTS OUT ON THE DAMP SIDE BUT IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE ON THE WAY FOR SUNDAY… MONDAY SHOULD BE VERY NICE… ALL EYES ARE ON HURRICANE IRMA, WHICH MAY THREATEN THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES NEXT WEEK

As Harvey’s remnant moisture gets spread out and contributes to a wet start to the Labor Day weekend for many folks in the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern States, the attention now turns to Hurricane Irma, which is now moving westward through the Central North Atlantic Ocean. More on that later… First let’s discuss the weekend forecast. Folks here in Hampton Roads are waking up this Saturday morning to cloudy and gloomy conditions. This is due to a warm front slowly approaching from the south combined with tropical moisture brought up by Harvey. Harvey’s remnants got very spread out and the system is nothing like it once was as a prolific rainfall producer. As you probably know, it brought more than a year’s worth of rainfall to parts of Texas and broke many all-time rainfall records. The Hampton Roads area will have a chance of showers and storms today, some of which can be strong to severe. Conditions should improve tonight and we should have nice weather the remainder of the weekend. Temperatures should be in the low to mid 80’s Sunday and Monday. The nice weather will most likely come to an end by mid-week as what could be a very wet frontal system moves into the region. Heavy rain is possible at that time.

Hurricane Irma is now a category 2 storm and it may increase in strength as it moves west and then west-southwest over the next few days. Intensity forecasts aren’t very accurate but it could grow to a category 4 storm and even beyond that, conditions permitting. Computer models seem to be in agreement that this hurricane may track towards the East Coast of the United States in about 7 to 10 days. However, predicting steering currents out that far is very difficult so pinpointing exactly where this storm will be is nearly impossible. Some models place the hurricane off the Southeast Coast while others have it further north off the Northeastern coastline.  After taking this unusual track west-southwestward, it is expected to turn to the west-northwestward. The position and strength of the Bermuda High to the storm’s north will determine the track of this storm for the next several days. Could it be steered out to sea? Possibly, but it’s way too early to tell. In the meantime, please ensure that you have all of your hurricane related supplies on-hand. And, of course, you should monitor this storm closely.

That’s it for now. Enjoy your holiday weekend and stay safe.

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HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY, AUGUST 12…. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR SOME DRIER WEATHER ON SUNDAY… A RETURN TO WET WEATHER IS LIKELY ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY

Very high humidity levels combined with a weak frontal boundary approaching from the west should bring showers and possibly a thunderstorm today to the Hampton Roads area. Heavy rain is possible which has prompted the National Weather Service to issue a Flash Flood Watch today. Please be very careful driving as ponding on the area roadways is possible. Small streams also may flood if the rainfall is heavy enough. There is also a weak low pressure system to our south adding to the lift in the atmosphere. As the frontal boundary moves through the area tonight, a northeasterly flow should dry us out a bit on Sunday. The front is expected to stall to our south and east and it is likely to return northward on Monday. This will raise rain chances both Monday and Tuesday once again. The wet weather pattern should end by Thursday. With all the clouds and rain over the next few days, temperatures should remain at or below normal levels. However, with the high humidity levels, it may still feel uncomfortable, especially if we get some sunshine.

In the tropical Atlantic, there is a disturbed area (99L) that is being investigated east of the Bahama Islands. The computer models keep this system off the coast, but I think this system should be watched very carefully over the next few days.

Since we are now at the time of year when the Atlantic Basin hurricane season normally starts to ramp up, you should make sure that you have all your emergency supplies.

Just a quick comment on the weather so far this summer season, many folks in VA Beach and the surrounding areas have not had to water much this summer. We’ve received rainfall frequent enough that has not allowed the soil to dry out that much. Unlike many summers, most lawns remain green, even those that are not normally watered.

Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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AFTER RECORD BREAKING HEAT, A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE HAMPTON ROADS REGION BRINGING COOLER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND… SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES

The cold front that triggered the showers and storms late on Friday is moving slower than expected and it will not cross the area until later today (Saturday). The front triggered showers and thunderstorms in some parts of SE VA and NE NC. Some of the storms were quite strong and lightning apparently sparked an apartment building fire in the city of Chesapeake, VA. Meteorologists don’t expect severe weather today, but a shower or storm cannot be ruled out, especially in NE NC. The unseasonable warm weather of the past few days is history. Once the cold front moves through, our winds will switch to the northeast off the water and become quite gusty, especially near the coast. Sunday should be a decent day although it is not expected to be that sunny. According to the NWS, the chance of rain on Sunday will be only around 20 percent. Then, the front that will have moved south of us is expected to return as a warm front. Rain chances are expected to ramp up on Monday and depending on the timing of an approaching cold front, strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon. We may dry out on Tuesday but the computer models seem to keep us in a rather unsettled weather pattern through Thursday. Although rain chances don’t appear to be that high, it seems that we do have a chance of a shower/storm Wednesday and Thursday. At least that’s the way it looks right now.

Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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AFTER A PERIOD OF COOL AND WET WEATHER, WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE ON THE WAY… IT MAY GET VERY WARM LATER IN THE WEEK!

The last round of wet weather from this pesky frontal system is moving through early this morning (Saturday). Rain will end from southwest to northeast this morning. Then, as the low pressure area moves to the northeast away from the region, our winds will turn northwesterly and conditions will begin to dry out. There won’t be much of a warmup today, but warmer conditions are expected tomorrow (Mother’s Day). Average high temperatures are now in the mid-seventies and we should be very close to that on Sunday, and we may be a little warmer than average. Then, we should be in for a stretch of sunny and rain-free conditions for several days. As a high pressure ridge develops along the East Coast, temperatures may approach the 90 degree mark later in the week. There may be a backdoor cold front moving southward into the Mid-Atlantic states later in the week, but right now, it is not certain whether the front will make it this far south. Our temperatures later in the week will be dependent on whether the front makes it through the region.  So, once we get through this morning’s wet weather, we will have a chance to dry out for a while.

Happy Mother’s day to all you moms out there!

Thanks for reading and have a wonderful weekend!

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