Archive for August 28, 2016

A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED OFF THE EAST COAST… THE FIRST ADVISORY ON THIS DEPRESSION FROM THE NHC IS EXPECTED AT 11:00 AM TODAY (SUNDAY)… HURRICANE GASTON IS MOVING SLOWLY NW IN THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC

I was noticing on the satellite imagery this morning that an area of disturbed weather off the coast about half way between Bermuda and the SE Coast looked very impressive.  Sure enough, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has just declared that it has become a tropical depression. The first official advisory will be issued at 11:00 AM today (Sunday). The thing about this is that it is fairly close to the U.S. and it is moving towards the East Coast. Now, both weather forecasters and computer models did not make a big deal about this system as of yesterday. The atmospheric conditions were not supposed to be conducive to development as it moved westward around the periphery of an upper-level low pressure area. So, we’ll see what the advisory says before we jump to any conclusions.

As far as our weather is concerned, we’re seeing lots of low clouds with the onshore flow this morning. There may be a shower in spots today and tomorrow with temperatures remaining at seasonal levels. We will see sunshine at times. Of course, our forecast now heavily depends on what happens to this newly formed depression off the coast. Please monitor the local media and updates from the NHC.

The area of disturbed weather that has been monitored near Cuba still has a chance to develop when it reaches the Gulf of Mexico. However, the models have been all over the place with regards to this system. At one point, there was an 80% chance of development. Wind shear and mountainous islands have been inhibiting this system. Wind shear is expected to ease a bit as it heads westward into the Gulf of Mexico.

I know that most of you in the Hampton Roads area have received significant rainfall over the past several weeks. However, there has not been any significant rainfall in my Virginia Beach neighborhood since August 11th! Just over an inch of rain has fallen in my backyard this month! The normal rainfall is nearly 4 to 5 times that!! The conditions here are very dry since it has been so warm this month.

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day!

 

 

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