Archive for October 2, 2015

THE NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM OFF THE COAST IS CAUSING HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WINDS, TIDAL FLOODING, AND A FLOOD WATCH TO BE ISSUED… HURRICANE JOAQUIN’S FORECAST TRACK KEEPS IT OFFSHORE

My post last night focused on the hurricane and the computer model performance. I wanted to talk about the weather conditions today caused by a quasi-stationary frontal system that lies just off the coast. Due to the combination of a high pressure area over Eastern Canada and the frontal system off the coast, winds are going to be quite strong today out of the NE. This will cause tidal flooding today through Saturday. The occasional heavy rain may cause highway and street flooding and there is also a possibility of small stream and river flooding, too. A Flood Watch has been issued by the NWS and there is also a Coastal Flood Warning in effect. If you have to travel today, please be careful. There may be a break in the rainfall at times today, but overall it is going to be a very wet and stormy day. South Carolina seems to be in the bulls eye of the heaviest rainfall from this system. This could be a historic event for them… Hurricane Joaquin is still a category 4 storm and it appears that it is undergoing an eye-wall replacement cycle. This can cause some temporary weakening. It is moving very slowly and it is expected to start heading north and then northeast. As it moves out to sea well off the coast, its effects here should be minimal and it will slowly weaken as it encounters cooler water and wind shear. You should still monitor the track of the storm as there could still be a shift in the track. I plan to post again over the weekend. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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