Archive for August, 2014

THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE COOLER THAN NORMAL BUT THE FORECAST HAS CHANGED REGARDING PRECIPITATION CHANCES… SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY DUE TO A COLD FRONT

It was just a few days ago when weather forecasters were predicting a very wet weekend for Hampton Roads. A nearly stationary frontal boundary to our southwest combined with upper-level disturbances was supposed to bring significant rain to our region. Now, the heaviest rainfall is expected well to our south and west leaving most of us high and dry. A shower cannot be ruled out across Hampton Roads, but most of us should remain dry. An onshore flow will keep as a little on the cool side this weekend. The big question is how much clouds there will be from the system to our southwest. The next chance of showers and storms should come on Tuesday, when a cold front approaches the region. Moisture from the southwest may move in enhancing rain chances but right now that is not a certainty. Drier weather is likely later in the week… The tropical Atlantic is quiet for now.

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THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY… TROPICAL STORM BERTHA REMAINS DISORGANIZED

A frontal boundary is expected to stay nearly stationary over our region through Monday. This combined with waves of low pressure moving along the boundary and upper-level disturbances (shortwaves) are expected to produce occasional showers and thunderstorms through Monday. Some of the rainfall can be heavy at times. An area of heavy rain moved through Hampton Roads overnight dumping 0.90 inches of rain in my neighborhood early Saturday morning. There will be dry periods and there may even be a peak of sun at times. However, clouds are expected to dominate the skies throughout the weekend. In a pattern like this, it is very difficult for weather forecasters to predict exactly when and where the rain will be. As it looks right now, we should see less of a chance of rain by Tuesday. However, another system may bring a chance of showers/storms by mid-week… Tropical Storm Bertha, which is near Puerto Rico,  is struggling to stay alive as wind shear is taking its toll. The current forecast track takes it out to sea and not impacting the U.S. directly. Most of the forecast models are in agreement with this solution. The only impacts on the East Coast are expected to be an increased threat of rip currents. Please monitor the track of this tropical cyclone since the forecast track can change. That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day!

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