Archive for July 1, 2014

A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE FLORIDA COAST… THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS FORECASTING IT TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES UP THE COAST… IN THE MEANTIME, HEAT AND HUMIDITY BUILD IN HAMPTON ROADS

 Tropical Depression One has formed off the east coast of Florida. This should be the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. Tropical Storm Arthur is expected to be named sometime today. At the current time, it is drifting around but it is expected to turn more to the north later today and tonight. Although there is still much uncertainty regarding the forecast track and intensity of this system, the models are starting to come together as to the path of the storm, which should eventually take it northeastward just off the Carolina Coastline. The track has shifted slightly to the right taking the worst conditions just offshore the Outer Banks. However, a westward shift in the track could mean more rain and wind for the coastal areas. Intensity forecasts are less dependable so the actual strength of the storm may be different from what is currently being forecasted by the NHC. What about Hampton Roads? We’re going to be caught between an approaching cold front and the tropical cyclone. The current thinking is that the increase in tropical moisture should result in scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms later Thursday and Friday. Right now, it is not certain how we will be impacted by the storm, but the timing could not be worse as it is expected to make it’s closest approach on Independence Day… In the meantime, heat and humidity will be increasing here in Hampton Roads. A shower or thunderstorm are possible but odds are that most areas will stay dry. On Thursday, rain chances increase as the cold front approaches from the west and tropical moisture increases from the tropical system moving northeastward along the coast. That’s it for now. Have a great day!

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