Archive for November, 2012

MONDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY FOR A WHILE… SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE INTO HAMPTON ROADS MONDAY NIGHT… HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE NORTHEAST LATER IN THE WEEK BRINGING US COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS

As the headline states, today (Monday) will be the warmest day for a while. As a high pressure system moves off the coast, the S-SE flow will bring warm and increasingly moist conditions to Hampton Roads. A cold front will slide across the region on Tuesday dropping temperatures to below seasonal levels. Showers are expected Monday night and Tuesday, especially early in the day on Tuesday. A cool northerly flow will set in for a few days making for a nice, but rather brisk, period of weather. I think it will be dry for the rest of the work week. The next chance of rain will be next weekend although weather forecasters aren’t sure about the weekend just yet.

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THE WEATHER WILL BE GREAT ON VETERANS DAY… AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OFFSHORE SHOULD BRING MORE CLOUDS ON MONDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES GOING UP ON TUESDAY

The weather should not cause any issues for your Veterans Day. Plenty of sunshine, light winds, and temperatures peaking out near 70 degrees will make for a truly nice November day. I think that Monday will still be a nice day, although there is expected to be more clouds and maybe even fog in some areas. High pressure moving off the East Coast will generate a southeast breeze which will bring in increasing moisture. Temperatures will still be pleasant. A cold front will be approaching from the west and that should bring some showers beginning either late Monday night or early Tuesday morning. High pressure builds back in on Wednesday bringing cooler temperatures along with more sunshine. Dry weather should last the rest of the work week after Tuesday’s showers. So, on this Veterans Day, make sure you take time out of your day to remember those who have served this great nation.

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HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS HAMPTON ROADS A BEAUTIFUL WEEKEND…. SOUTHERLY BREEZES BRING WARMER WEATHER… RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ON TUESDAY

After all of the very active weather the past few weeks, things have quieted down. There are no nor’easters in the forecast and we don’t have to worry about hurricanes. High pressure will bring us a fantastic autumn weekend and temperatures will be warmer than they’ve been of late. Temperatures have been below normal for the most part since Hurricane Sandy blew through the region. Now we can enjoy some nice weather. For the areas up north that were severely impacted by the hurricane, conditions will be much better for the recovery efforts. An early season snowstorm caused more power outages in parts of the Northeast including the states of NJ and NY. Some people who got their power back were blacked out again by the nor’easter. The storm system tracked further east than was originally predicted sparing NJ and NY of the strongest winds. However, the further offshore track caused snow to fall across the region. Looking ahead, a cold front should bring us a chance of showers on Tuesday, but at this point, it doesn’t look like anything too significant. I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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A COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT… THE FORECAST TRACK SHIFTS OFFSHORE A BIT WHICH MAY SPARE HAMPTON ROADS FROM THE WORST CONDITIONS… FOLKS IN THE NORTHEAST ARE WORRIED THIS NOR’EASTER COULD AFFECT RECOVERY EFFORTS

The forecast track of the low pressure area that is expected to develop off the Carolina Coast later Tuesday is now a little further east which is good news for Hampton Roads. The further east the storm tracks, the less likely that winds and tides will be a major issue here. Areas damaged by Hurricane Sandy in the Northeastern states may experience high winds, rain, and even snow in the higher elevations as the storm moves up the coast and intensifies. Coastal flooding may be possible especially in areas where beaches and protective sand dunes have washed away from the hurricane. Hopefully, the storm doesn’t impact the power restoration efforts up there. Over one million homes and businesses are still without power as of this morning. Current indications are that tidal flooding will be minor here in Hampton Roads. Rainfall will most likely be confined to areas near the coast. The further northeast you are, the more rain you will receive. Winds here in Hampton Roads will probably gust to around 40 MPH near the coast if the current forecast storm track holds. Bottom line is that Wednesday will be a rainy and windy day. Note that in the Northeast and Northern Mid-Atlantic States, snow is possible in some inland locations. Later in the week, we will dry out and it appears that temperatures will be trending upward. The weekend looks good right now.

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A NOR’EASTER MAY IMPACT OUR WEATHER DURING THE MID-WEEK PERIOD… THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY OF EXACTLY WHAT THE STORM’S PATH WILL BE, SO STAY TUNED

An upper-level disturbance in the Northwestern part of the nation will be diving southeast the next few days and is expected to cause the development of a coastal storm off the Southeast Coast by Tuesday. This low pressure area will intensify as it moves up the coast and may bring strong winds, coastal flooding, heavy rain, and possibly inland and high elevation snow to areas along portions of the East Coast. The exact track of this storm is not certain at this time as models differ somewhat in their forecast tracks. This is very worrisome for the folks severely affected by Hurricane Sandy. The dunes along the beaches have been eroded away in some cases and there is less of a beach in many of the those areas up north. This makes the coastal region very vulnerable to coastal flooding. This storm will have to be closely monitored over the next few days. Backing up to today (Sunday), a weak low pressure system sliding by to our south may bring a few showers. Monday should be a decent day but temperatures will be still on the cool side. Tuesday will be a transitional day as the low pressure system develops off the Carolina coast. I expect to have a special update on this system on Tuesday morning (November 6th).

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