SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY ON SUNDAY, BUT IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE OF RECEIVING HEAVY RAIN WILL BE FURTHER NORTH… THE WEEK AHEAD LOOKS TYPICAL FOR MID-AUGUST… RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE NEXT WEEKEND

Well, it happened again! My “desert” community here in Va Beach has been missed again by an area of rain that moved through Norfolk. We did get a little rain (about a tenth of an inch) but that is not going to help much with the incredible dryness here in my parched neighborhood. The last time that it rained more than a tenth of an inch was on July 25th, and that was only about a third of an inch of rain. Although forecasters are still predicting showers and thunderstorms today due to an approaching cold front, I think that most of the significant rainfall will be north of here where it is already occurring this morning. That is where the best forcing, dynamics, lift, etc will be. Some areas may receive a heavy downpour, but I think it will be isolated to scattered in nature. Severe weather is a possibility, too. Let’s hope that the Great Dismal Swamp receives some rain to help with that wildfire. Some believe that they need six or more inches of rain to douse the fire. Once the front moves offshore late tonight, our rain chances will decrease but there is still a chance of a shower/storm on Monday. The week should be dry for the most part but rain chances will most likely increase by next weekend as we may see a similar set up to what we have now.

The are no major concerns in the tropical Atlantic but we are heading into what normally is the meat of the season when the tropical wave train usually develops long tracked tropical cyclones. So, we should see an uptick to the activity over the next week or so.

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day.

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