Archive for August, 2011

A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE WELCOME THIS WEEK… TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE DEVELOPS IN THE EASTERN NORTH ATLANTIC

The weather this week will be perfect for the clean-up and repairs that need to be made from Hurricane Irene. Although there will be a chance of a shower or thunderstorm on Monday and Monday night, the week ahead should be dry for the most part. Temperatures will be typical for late August. I know you don’t want to hear this but another tropical depression has developed in the Atlantic Basin. It’s way to soon to speculate where this will track.

Every hurricane is unique and each one has its own distinct characteristics. It is impossible to know the exact details of how a hurricane will impact any given area  prior to a hurricane’s approach. Also, intensity forecasts are very difficult and are much less accurate than track forecasts. I say all this because there are some “critics” out there who think that this storm was over-hyped, especially in the Northeast. Although this storm did not produce the tidal flooding that it could have caused in the NYC area, it still caused havoc in many areas of the Northeast. Effects from Irene include  rain induced flooding, numerous downed trees, power outages affecting millions of people so this storm will be memorable for many folks up there regardless of what the critics think. It is better to be prepared for the worst and not receive the worst conditions. The safety of the people should be the number one priority for authorities. Of course, when the next hurricane threatens the Northeast, there will be some people that will not evacuate since they will think that it will be another situation like Irene. That storm may be the one that does flood those areas that Irene did not flood. I agree that evacuations are expensive and cause major problems for those who are ordered to evacuate. But, isn’t your life more important than dealing with those inconveniences for a day or two?

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day.

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IN THE WAKE OF HURRICANE IRENE, WE’LL HAVE SOME TYPICAL LATE AUGUST WEATHER… MY NEIGHBORHOOD RECEIVES NEARLY A FOOT OF RAIN

Hurricane Irene is now moving into the Northeastern states and now it is clean up time for folks in SE VA and NE NC. Rainfall totals were quite impressive across the area. Some places received nearly 15 inches of rain. I would estimate that my neighborhood received about 10 inches. The center of the storm passed just to our southeast. The winds remained strong well into the night (Saturday) even as the storm was moving away. Luckily. the hurricane weakened to a category one storm. It could have been a lot worse had it been a category two or higher. Dry air interfered with the storm’s structure weakening it early Saturday. The hurricane was an unusually large storm and has affected a huge area. The good news with all this is that the fire in the Great Dismal Swamp has been mostly extinguished. There are still some hot spots that are smoldering, however. Power outages are a huge issue and I am sure that Dominion Power will do its best to get everyone back on-line as soon as possible. Major stories with this storm was the boy that was killed in Newport News by a tree falling on his apartment and the three houses that were severely damaged in the Sandbridge area of Virginia Beach. This may have been as a result of a tornado that spun up out ahead of Irene.

The week ahead looks dry and seasonal for the most part with just a chance of a shower or storm Tuesday or Wednesday. Thanks for reading and have a great day.

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HURRICANE IRENE WEAKENS SOMEWHAT BUT IT IS STILL A LARGE AND POWERFUL STORM… HEAVY FLOODING RAINS, STRONG DAMAGING WINDS, AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE ALL POSSIBLE FROM THIS STORM FOR AREAS ALONG ITS PATH

Well, by now you should be fully prepared for Hurricane Irene’s arrival. Forecasters have been saying that the east coast is overdue for a hurricane and now we have one that will be making landfall in NC Saturday morning.

Here’s the good news… Hurricane Irene has weakened a bit as dry air and wind shear have disrupted the storm’s structure. However, the storm is huge in area and it is still a formidable tropical cyclone. And, it is possible, since it is going over the very warm water of the Gulf Stream, it may pick up some strength but that is not in the forecast right now. Odds are that it will come ashore as a category one hurricane. The problem with the track of the storm is that it will be very close to the water in its trek up the east coast. This will help it to maintain its overall structure. So, even though that the interaction with land and cooler water will weaken the cyclone somewhat, it will most likely be a big wind and rain maker all the way up the coast to Southern New England. What does it mean for Hampton Roads? As it looks like right now, we will see rain overspread the area from south to north overnight (Friday night) and the winds should steadily increase. By Saturday morning, it should be raining quite heavily in most, if not all,  of Hampton Roads and the wind speeds will be approaching tropical storm force. As we go through the day on Saturday, conditions will most likely deteriorate and power outages will most likely be widespread throughout the area. Winds will most likely be gusting to hurricane force. Depending on the storm’s exact track and intensity, there may be a period of sustained hurricane winds here in Hampton Roads, especially in Virginia Beach and Norfolk. Even if the storm weakens further, flooding rains will be an issue along with major coastal flooding in some areas. Once the storm moves north of our region Saturday night conditions will improve. By Sunday, the rain should be gone for the most part and the winds will be lessening throughout the day. The size of the storm and the duration of the high winds should result in coastal flooding in the normal flood prone areas. If the peak of the storm comes at high tide, that will make matters worse. Mandatory evactuations have been ordered for low lying areas from NC all the way up the coast to Southern New England. Even New York City is taking no chances and has evactuated many coastal areas. Hopefully, this latest weakening trend continues and maybe it won’t be that bad for folks up there. Please monitor your local media for updates throughout this event. If I have power on Saturday, I will post an update. Be safe and take care. Thanks for reading.

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AFTER COMPUTER CRASH LAST WEEK, I’M BACK UP AND RUNNING… HURRICANE IRENE THREATENS THE SOUTHEAST COAST… THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MAY AVOID THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA… MEANWHILE, OUR WEATHER LOOKS GREAT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

My computer crashed last week and then I had to go out of town over the weekend so that is why I did not post over the weekend. I’m back up and running now. The big news is Hurricane Irene, which is expected to move just north of the island of Hispaniola. Since the track is expected to take it north of this very mountainous island, the effects to the storm are expected to be less than expected. This combined with very warm water are expected to allow the storm to strengthen as it moves west-northwestward. Folks from Florida through the Carolinas need to pay close attention to this storm as it could become a major hurricane. High pressure to the north of the hurricane should keep on the same track for the next couple of days. However, a trough along the East Coast may act to pull the storm northward later in the week. Please monitor this storm over the next few days as the forecast track may change. Rain from this storm is possible here in Hampton Roads sometime over the weekend.

Our weather here in Hampton Roads should be pleasant for the next couple of days with little or no chances of rain. Speaking of rain, some areas received heavy downpours yesterday (Sunday), but my neighborhood only received a tenth of an inch. Once a cold front moves through, our winds will switch to the north and will usher in less humid air. High temperatures will be cooler than they’ve been of late which should make it feel quite pleasant.

Thanks for reading and have a great day.

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FINALLY, SIGNIFICANT RAIN FALLS IN MY VIRGINIA BEACH NEIGHBORHOOD!

Well, it finally happened. A shower popped up to my southwest and just slowly built into a thunderstorm moving very slowly to the east. Rain increased in intensity and I picked up about 1.30 inches in my backyard. This is the most rain that I’ve received since July 6th! The storm keeps back-building and as I write this, I am still hearing thunder even though the rain stopped over an hour ago. I also wanted to mention that I noticed the NWS bumped up rainfall chances for Monday to 40%.

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