Archive for July, 2011

SUNDAY IS A BIT UNSETTLED AND SLIGHTLY COOLER DUE TO THE CLOUDINESS… TEMPERATURES HEAT UP A BIT AS WE GO THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD… WILL WE SEE OUR NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP THIS WEEK IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN?

On Saturday, I was at the beach and the conditions there were absolutely perfect. The ocean was warm, the waves were small, and there was a light breeze off the water. Sunshine was abundant so sunscreen and a beach umbrella were a necessity. Sunday features more clouds and there are some showers and storms out to our west and south. So far, no rain has fallen here in Va Beach. A weak disturbance moving through the region is causing the unsettled weather. The NWS has the chance of rain today at only 20%, which is down from what they were predicting yesterday. The system is weak but there is plenty of humidity which can result in very heavy rain in any storm that does pop up. The chance of rain lowers as we go through mid-week and high temperatures should rise into the lower 90’s with sunshine returning.

Forecasters are predicting that our next tropical cyclone will soon be born east of the Leeward Islands. The next named stormed will be Emily and she will have to be monitored closely this week. It’s too soon to speculate as to where she will go and how strong she will become.

That’s it for now. Have a great day and thank you for reading.

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THE HEAT SUBSIDES A BIT BUT IT WILL STILL BE ON THE WARM SIDE… WE MAY SEE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY… A NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL MOST LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS

Are you tired of the heat? Well, Mother Nature is going to give us a break in the intense heat for a few days starting on Sunday. However, it will probably still be on the warm side of normal as temperatures should peak out around the 90 degree mark early next week. Before we get to that, we still have another hot one on Saturday but temperatures are expected to peak out a few degrees lower than Friday’s high temperatures. There may be an isolated shower/storm on Saturday but odds are that you will not see one. A weak front will be slowly moving south through the region over the weekend. Energy from the west is forecasted to increase our rain chances on Sunday. At the time of this writing, the rain chances for Sunday are about 40%.

What about the tropics? Well, as the remnants of Tropical Storm Don weaken rapidly as they move westward through southern Texas, an area of disturbed weather is being watched very closely in the Central Atlantic. This will very likely become Tropical Storm Emily over the next few days and it may threaten the Leeward Islands in a few days. It’s way too early to know where this potential storm will eventually go, how strong it will become, and whether it will threaten the United States. We are fast approaching the time of year when hurricane season normally begins to ramp up. Tropical Storm Don’s rainfall dissipated extremely rapidly as it moved through South Texas, and unfortunately, did not provide any real drought relief. I heard one meteorologist say this morning that he has never seen a tropical storm’s remnants disappear as fast as Don’s did. Texas is having what probably is the worst drought in its history.

What about the drought? Although some areas of Hampton Roads did receive significant amounts of rainfall over the past few weeks, some areas have not been so lucky. Norfolk and Northern VA Beach received huge amounts of rain earlier this past week. My VA Beach neighborhood has been missed by the heaviest rain. ORF has received so much rain that they are just short of normal precipitation for the year, and ORF was way below normal just a few short weeks ago.

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day.

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THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY CONTINUE… CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SOMEWHAT BY MID-WEEK BUT THINGS MAY HEAT BACK UP BY THE END OF THE WEEK

Saturday was another brutally hot and humid day. Temperatures soared past the century mark again. During the afternoon an isolated thunderstorm popped up over northern VA Beach and although my neighborhood did not receive any rain from this storm, we did benefit from the cooling effect of the downdrafts associated with the storm and the cloud cover. Temperatures dropped rather abruptly from over 100 to the mid 80’s. Another cluster of storms developed to my west during the evening, but again, no significant rain fell in my neighborhood. The lightning to my northwest was quite impressive. We have another chance of a shower or storm today (Sunday), but most likely, not everyone will see rain. Temperatures are expected to be slightly lower today, but it will still be very hot and humid. On Monday, we may see a slightly better chance of showers and thunderstorms as a cold front begins to approach the area. It will still be hot and humid but forecasters are saying that Monday should be slightly cooler than today. So the trend seems to be that we will see slightly improving conditions but it will still be very uncomfortable and you should take precautions to guard against heat related illnesses. A break in the intense heat and humidity is expected by mid-week but it may not last. Temperatures are expected to be on the rise again by late in the week.

The tropical Atlantic is basically quiet. We are just days away from the time of year when hurricane season normally begins to ramp up so make sure you have a plan should a tropical cyclone threaten the area.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

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THE INTENSE HEAT CONTINUES BUT SOME RELIEF IS ON THE WAY… THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES WEAKENS A BIT BUT WILL WE SEE A RETURN TO THE UNBEARABLE CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK?

When the temperature at 7:00 AM is in the low 80’s, and the dew point is in the mid 70’s, you know that a brutal day is ahead, especially when there will be abundant sunshine throughout the day.  On Friday, the high temperature at ORF reached 102 degrees, which was a record high for the day. Did you hear about Newark, N.J.? Their high temperature on Friday was 108, which was an all time record!!! When will this heat wave end? Well, Saturday is expected to be another brutal day with high temperatures reaching around 100 degrees. There may be an isolated shower or storm but odds are you will not see one. Sunday should be a little better and there may be a shower or thunderstorm in spots. Monday should be even cooler with another chance of a shower or storm, but it will still be warm and muggy. A frontal boundary should bring some relief from the heat and humidity by mid-week, but forecasters think that another period of above normal temperatures is possible by later next week. Not sure if it will be as bad as it is now.

What about the tropics? The Atlantic Basin became active earlier in the week as we had Tropical Storm Bret develop off the Southeast Coast. And then we had Cindy, which was a tropical storm that developed further out and is now moving harmlessly away in the far northern Atlantic Ocean. None of these storms were ever a threat to the United States. Note that there is another area of disturbed weather that is being watched near the Lesser Antilles.

So, remember that this heat can be very dangerous and not just for the elderly and the infants. Take it easy out there and stay hydrated. Thanks for reading and I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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AN EXTENDED HEATWAVE SEEMS LIKELY FOR HAMPTON ROADS BEGINNING TUESDAY… ASIDE FROM AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ON TUESDAY, RAINFALL CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK

A large high pressure ridge over the center of the nation will build eastward a bit expanding the heat that has been plaguing the Central Plains states for several days. This ridge takes up a lot of real estate so the heat will be quite widespread across the eastern two thirds of the nation. The only relief that forecasters see is the possibility of a shower or thunderstorm on Tuesday as a weak frontal boundary approaches. This frontal boundary will wash out. After that it will be just a relentless day to day assault of intense heat and humidity with very low chances of rain. Sometimes in situations like these, disturbances ride the upper-level flow around the periphery of the high pressure ridge causing an occasional round of thunderstorms to move in from the northwest. Forecasters aren’t predicting those storms to affect our region. Instead, they will most likely move north of our region, if they develop at all. The heatwave is likely to last into next weekend and possibly beyond that. So, get ready for the heat and remember to take the necessary precautions to prevent heat stroke.

Note that there is a disturbed area off the Southeast Coast that will have to be watched for tropical cyclone development. The National Hurricane Center gives it a 30% chance to develop into a tropical cyclone.

Thanks for reading and have a great day.

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