Archive for September, 2010

AFTER A DAMP AND COOL SUNDAY, THE WEEK WILL START NICE AND SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK AT THE VERY LEAST… HURRICANE IGOR BECOMES POWERFUL AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD

We haven’t had a day like this in quite a while. Sunday started out with light rain and it just stayed overcast and drizzly all day. Temperatures were held down due to the cloud cover. I’m enjoying not having my air conditioner running and having the windows open. As expected, rainfall wasn’t excessive. So far, about a third of an inch fell in my backyard. In some parts of Virginia, the rainfall was much needed as some areas are experiencing a drought. So far, the drought has hurt farmers more than it’s affected the water supplies. Monday should be much nicer with sunshine and warmer temperatures. Forecasters are predicting dry weather for much of the week with the first chance of any rain coming late in the week at the earliest…. Meanwhile, Hurricane Igor is moving westward in the Central North Atlantic with sustained winds of 140 MPH.  The forecast track takes the storm westward with a gradual turn to the northwest. Will it impact the East Coast of the U.S. or Bermuda? The thinking right now is that it will not impact the East Coast directly. However, it is very early and this is highly dependent on whether it finds a weakness in the high pressure ridge that it steering it westward. Bermuda should monitor this storm very closely. Will it be just a “fish” storm or will it somehow come further west and impact the East Coast. I think that by Tuesday or Wednesday, forecasters will have a better idea of what will happen. The trend has been further west with Igor’s forecast track, so I highly recommend that you monitor this storm. There is another suspicious area in the Caribbean and in the Eastern North Atlantic, TD 12 has developed.

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SATURDAY WILL BE PLEASANT BUT SUNDAY COULD BE A BIT WET… TROPICAL STORM IGOR TRACKS WESTWARD… ANOTHER STORM MAY DEVELOP IN THE CARIBBEAN

Saturday will be a great day for doing yard work, sightseeing, taking a long walk, etc. since temperatures will be pleasant with low relative humidity. A frontal system approaching from the west will bring a chance of showers later Saturday night and Sunday. A thunderstorm is possible on Sunday. The potential rainfall doesn’t seem that impressive but we may pick up a half inch in spots. That would mean much needed moisture for some areas that have not seen much rain over the past several weeks. Due to the cloud cover, Sunday should be on the cool side. Monday should be nice and Tuesday looks like it will be warmer… Tropical Storm Igor is chugging along in the Atlantic moving westward quite rapidly. Slow intensification is possible over the next few days. The big question (as always) is how far west will the storm get and will it re-curve out into the North Atlantic. From what I’ve read and seen, it seems that forecasters really are unsure if it will be a threat to the Southeast or Bermuda. It’s still rather far away so forecasters have time to watch it. Another suspicious area of disturbed weather is being watched in the Caribbean.  I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF… THE GREAT WEATHER CONTINUES FOR HAMPTON ROADS

Tropical Storm Hermine developed overnight in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. The storm is expected to move N-NW towards the Mexican border with Texas near Brownsville. At this time, forecasters are not certain whether it will become a hurricane before it makes landfall. Hurricane watches have gone up just in case.  Folks in that area need to monitor the storm very closely. Either way, heavy rain is a given and so flooding is likely in flood prone areas. The remnant low that was once Gaston is fighting dry air and doesn’t look any better this morning. However, it will be heading into an area that is more conducive for development. Note that it will also be moving towards the larger islands in the Caribbean Sea which could inhibit development… Back at home, our weather looks great as we head back to work and school. High pressure will be close by and it may actually get uncomfortably warm again by mid-week. As we head through the month of September, the days grow shorter and the sun’s intensity weakens. Heatwaves aren’t as brutal as they were earlier in the summer… and of course, we’ve had a few brutal heatwaves this summer.  (See my Weather Fact entitled “What is the weather like during the month of September in Hampton Roads”). What about the extended forecast? We’ll have to keep an eye on the remnants of Hermine but it looks dry for most if not all of this week.

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IT DOESN’T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THIS!… WARMER TEMPERATURES MAY RETURN BY MID-WEEK… WILL GASTON MAKE A COMEBACK?

Bright blue skies, light winds, lower humidity levels, comfortable temperatures… it doesn’t get much better than that! This is a refreshing change for us summer-weary folks here in Hampton Roads. Are we finished with the hot and humid weather? Probably not. But, I doubt it will be as bad as it has been earlier in the summer. Temperatures will be inching back up as we head towards mid-week. Dry weather seems likely for the foreseeable future. What about the tropics? The remnant low of Gaston has a high probability of making a comeback, so forecasters are going to keep a close eye on it over the next few days. If it does regenerate, it could pose a threat to the U.S. since it is expected to continue heading west for a while. The southwestern Gulf of Mexico is also being watched for development. I’ll have an update on Labor Day.

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TROPICAL STORM EARL HEADS FOR NOVA SCOTIA… SUNSHINE RETURNS TO HAMPTON ROADS… THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND LOOKS FANTASTIC… COULD GASTON COME BACK TO LIFE?

Tropical Storm Earl is heading towards Nova Scotia. Hampton Roads was left unscathed and basically that was the forecast. Even in the Outer Banks, the damage was minimal. The storm stayed just far enough offshore to spare us the major flooding problems, widespread power outages, wind damage, etc. I picked up 1.30 inches of rain from Earl. In the storm’s wake, we will see beautiful weather for the holiday weekend. Temperatures will be easy to take and humidity levels will be lower than they’ve been of late. Speaking of temperatures, I did say in my post on Friday that I did not think that we would see high temperatures in the 90’s and sure enough, the temperatures never even got close. The high temperature at ORF on Friday was 82. I never understood how the forecasters thought that we would see such hot weather when a hurricane was moving up along our coastline. Between the clouds, rain, and northerly wind flow, 90’s were out of reach. As far as the tropics are concerned, Gaston may be making a comeback. The area of convection seems to be getting more organized so we’ll have to keep an eye on it as it tracks west. I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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