Archive for June, 2010

BRUTAL HEAT CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE SOME RELIEF ARRIVES… THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FOR THE ATLANTIC WEAKENS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA

The unrelenting heat will continue through Tuesday as a very slow moving cold front inches its way towards Hampton Roads. Southwesterly winds are transporting the heat and humidity into our region. The front is expected to slow even more as it moves into our region later Tuesday. Depending on the weather pattern, this time of year can be very hard for cold fronts to move through our region. The Bermuda High off the coast can be very strong and with weak upper level winds, the fronts just don’t have the strength to move further south and east of the Carolina Coastal waters. The resorts at the beaches love this kind of pattern as this truly is great weather for swimming at our area’s beaches… The Atlantic Basin’s first tropical cyclone has developed and has rapidly weakened over the Yucatan Peninsula’s hilly terrain. When it emerges out of the water again, it may reintensify possibly to hurricance status. It’s eventual track is in question due to a complex weather pattern over the U.S.

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THE WEATHER ON FATHER’S DAY WILL BE TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR… WARM, HUMID, AND A CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN SOME SPOTS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING

High pressure off the coast will maintain a mostly dry day for most of us here in SE VA on this Father’s Day. A very weak cold front to our west may touch off a shower or thunderstorm in spots later today. Temperatures will be warm and humidity levels will be relatively high making for an uncomfortable day for most of us. Behind the weakening cold front on Monday, it should be slightly cooler and drier. Look for a return of the heat and humidity later in the week.

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SATURDAY WILL BE WARM AND SUNNY… THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY BUILD ON SUNDAY

The weather pattern is fairly quiet as high pressure maintains dry weather with lots of sunshine. There is a very small chance of rain today (Saturday). A light S-SE breeze will keep it a little cooler near the ocean. Speaking of the ocean, Saturday will be a great beach day. On Sunday, the wind direction veers to the SW, which will cause an increase in temperatures and humidity. Sunday afternoon will feel uncomfortable for most of us. The NWS states that there will only be a 20% chance of a showers/thunderstorms Sunday afternoon. Monday looks to be cooler but still sunny. I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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HEAT, HUMIDITY, AND ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY… SOME RELIEF IS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY

An area of rain moved through Hampton Roads overnight bringing about three quarters of an inch of rain to my Virginia Beach neighborhood. This was much needed rain. Today (Sunday) feels very humid as the dew point is 74 at the time of this writing! There may be another round of rain/storms later today or tonight, but in a pattern like this, it is very difficult to predict who will get the rain and how much will fall. Although another disturbance will be moving through the area, a down sloping westerly breeze may inhibit storm development. However, it may not and we could see some isolated heavy rainfall later on this evening. Monday should be hot with less of a chance of showers/storms. On Tuesday the chance for storms goes back up as a frontal system tries to approach the area. All in all, it’s a very typical pattern for mid-June. Forecasters are predicting a break in the heat starting Tuesday and lasting through Thursday at least.

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HEAT AND HUMIDITY RETURN TO HAMPTON ROADS… WILL THERE BE ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND?

High pressure moving offshore will produce a southerly flow which will bring in increasing humidity levels along with very warm (and sometimes hot) conditions. The humidity will be slow to build so Saturday shouldn’t be too oppresive.  However, you’ll probably notice the difference when you walk outside on Sunday when the dew points are expected to be quite high. With all the heat and humidity around, you’re probably wondering whether there will be thunderstorms. As has been the case in recent weeks, there just isn’t an obvoius trigger that will cause organized convection this weekend. That’s not to say that we will not have storms, it’s just that forecasters don’t know about the coverage. They’ve capped the rain chances at around 30% for Sunday. We could use a good soaking so I’m hoping that we see some activity on Sunday. A cold front is expected to move through early next week bringing some relief.

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