AFTER A FAIRLY DECENT SUNDAY, RAIN SLOWLY SPREADS NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY… LOW PRESSURE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEAST OFF THE COAST… THE WEATHER SHOULD IMPROVE ON TUESDAY BUT MAY BECOME UNSETTLED AGAIN BY THANKSGIVING

Early last week, the forecast for this weekend (11/21-22)  was for a sunny Saturday and a rainy Sunday. The system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico moved slower than expected so we managed to salvage our Sunday. As I write this, the sky is a deep blue and it is shaping up to be a decent day. However, the clouds aren’t far away and will be creeping in later today and tonight from the south and southwest. The low will slowly move northeastward to a position off the Mid-Atlantic Coast on Monday. The rain should be fairly light for the most part with the heaviest rain occurring near the Southeast Coastline. Winds should not be that much of an issue, but they will be increasing later Sunday night and on Monday. Tides may be a bit above normal but this event should not be that bad, especially if you compare it to the Nor’Ida storm earlier this month. The low pressure system will move away on Tuesday and we should have a decent day on Wednesday. Then, the models diverge on their solutions for Thanksgiving Day and beyond. Please monitor the weather forecast for Thanksgiving especially if you are traveling. A snowstorm is possible in parts of the nation this holiday weekend, and I think the areas to watch are the Great Lakes states and the Northeastern states. Out west, other troublesome areas are possible. The overall pattern is fairly active and due to various complicating factors, the models are not handling things that well. Temperatures this month have been mild for the most part but it seems that things may change once we get past the holiday weekend and we could see a trend to colder than normal conditions. Extended forecasts can be misleading but they can act as a guide to what the trends are.

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