PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY ABOUNDS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE HAMPTON ROADS AREA THIS WEEK… THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC STAYS UNUSUALLY QUIET FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR

I thought that forecasters might have a better idea as to what our weather was going to be like this upcoming week today (Sunday), but it seems that there is still quite a bit of uncertainty. Models keep the low pressure area to our southwest (with warm frontal features) to our west along with the deep moisture/rain. However, the models also want to develop a coastal trough or even a low pressure area along the Southeastern coastline early this week. If that happens, our weather could turn unsettled during the Tuesday to Thursday timeframe. The question is… Will that happen? Meanwhile, high pressure will remain to our northeast creating an easterly flow off the ocean. That alone could cause cloudiness and drizzle or light showers. The tropical Atlantic still remains hostile for tropical cyclone development. As of now, the “ghost” of Fred isn’t showing signs of regenerating and the other area of concern in the Central North Atlantic has lost much of its deep convection. Will the U.S. escape this hurricane season without a landfall of a hurricane? It’s still too early to know, but as each day passes by, we move slowly out of the peak of hurricane season, which occured on September 10th.

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