Archive for May, 2009

THE RAIN SLOWLY MOVES AWAY ON MONDAY… MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE VERY CHILLY FOR THE MIDDLE OF MAY… TEMPERATURES SLOWLY MODERATE AS WE HEAD INTO THE MID-WEEK PERIOD

The frontal system that brought all the rain on Sunday and early Monday will move well offshore making way for a decent week overall. It will start out quite chilly for the middle of May, but by mid-week, temperatures will be on the rebound to more seasonal levels. It’s still raining as I write this so I will have to issue an update on the total rainfall here in my backyard from this frontal system. One thing to watch later this week is a low pressure system that is expected to develop near Florida. This low will bring drought relief to the Florida penninsula and it will also bring some strong winds. Will it attain tropical characteristics? It’s hard to say right now, but either way, it could be quite a storm. Will it affect our region eventually? That’s another tough question which will have to be dealt with later this week.

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A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE HAMPTON ROADS REGION SATURDAY NIGHT… DROPPING TEMPERATURES AND SOME RAIN WILL MAKE FOR A CHILLY SUNDAY

Out ahead of the strong cold front, Saturday will feature high humidity and warm temperatures. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible at any time. Any shower/thunderstorm could drop very heavy rainfall in a short period of time. After the cold front passes through, temperatures will start dropping on Sunday. The high temperature should occur early in the day. Temperatures by late afternoon could be in the 50’s! The rain, which could fall steadily for a period early Sunday, should be tapering off by late afternoon, but I’ll have more on the timing of the rainfall in my Sunday morning post. Monday will be a very chilly day for this time of year. Temperatures will slowly moderate by mid-week.

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AFTER A COOL AND DAMP MONDAY, TUESDAY WILL BE VERY NICE… WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER NICE DAY, BUT THE FORECAST BEYOND THAT IS VERY UNCERTAIN

Monday was a very cool day for this time of year. Temperatures in the afternoon hovered in the low fifties. As expected, the rainfall totals didn’t amount to much. Tuesday and Wednesday are going to be two wonderful days, with lots of sunshine and light winds. Temperatures will be cooler near the coast, which is very common for this time of year when the winds turn onshore. Then, we enter an extended period of weather that will be challenging for forecasters. A backdoor cold front will be approaching and the exact position of this front will determine our weather through the weekend. Will it be as unsettled as it was last week? Probably not, although it is a possibility. I’ve seen some differences in the forecasts from two local TV meteorologists. One said that we would have a chance of showers/storms each day starting on Thursday and the other said that we would not see much of a chance of rain until late in the weekend. We’ll see how things evolve.

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THE HEAT, HUMIDITY, AND STORMS ARE GONE FOR NOW… HOWEVER, MONDAY MAY BE A BIT WET AT TIMES AS THE FRONT THAT BROUGHT THE COOLER WEATHER TRIES TO RETURN

Sunday was a very warm day here in Hampton Roads. As a cold front approached some areas to our north and west saw thunderstorms late in the afternoon and in the evening. VA Beach missed out on this rain. The front is now well to our south and east and has scoured out the heat and humidity. Mother’s Day will be refreshing as there will be a nice breeze and there will be ample sunshine. Rain chances on Sunday will be non-existent for most of us. The front will stall south of us and it will begin to move north. At the same time, a wave of low pressure is expected to ride along the boundary. This should be enough to cause some shower activity in the region on Monday along with cool temperatures. We clear out on Tuesday and then we slowly warm up later in the week. This past week’s rainy weather has put a dent in our 2009 deficit as it is now just over two inches officially at ORF.

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WHEN WILL THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN END?… YOU CAN TURN YOUR AIR CONDITIONERS OFF ON MONDAY

It’s been quite a week, hasn’t it? There were several days with rain, although there were no real washouts. The front that just wouldn’t go away finally did but then another one is approaching which re-introduced the threat of showers and thunderstorms on Friday night. Early Saturday morning, a cluster of thunderstorms moved through Hampton Roads dropping heavy rain in some areas. I picked up just under an inch of rain in my backyard. Forecast models had indicated that the storms would go north of us or dissipate before reaching our area, but they were wrong. Those storms got energized as they moved through even prompting severe thunderstorm warnings. Now, what about Saturday? With a cold front set to move through tonight and a warm, humid unstable flow ahead of it, forecasters believe that storms will pop again during the peak heating of the day on Saturday. However, the NWS only gives the chance of actually receiving a storm at 20%. My experience with situations like these is that many times after a stormy night or early morning, the afternoon storms just don’t materialize. Could today be an exception? We’ll see. If any storms do develop this afternoon, they could be quite strong… even severe so please be alert to changing conditions. The front moves through Saturday night and Sunday should be a cooler day with some clouds and maybe even a shower. Then, the temperatures really drop on Monday and as the headline states, you could turn your air conditioners off as temps probably won’t reach 70.  The cool weather should hold for a few days before inching back up later in the week. I’ll have an update on Sunday morning.

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