Archive for May 2, 2009

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MAKE FORECASTING RAIN CHANCES VERY DIFFICULT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS… TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS

A very slow moving cold front is expected to stall just to our north and west this weekend. Shortwaves or weak areas of low pressure are expected to move along this frontal boundary. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop but there is uncertainty as to how widespread they will be. Also, it’s very difficult for forecasters to predict what parts of the area (if any) will see rain. As I write this, the skies are clear but clouds should pop up as instability increases this afternoon and the frontal systems moves a little closer. The lion’s share of rain associated with this frontal system should fall well to our west. Rain chances should stick around through Monday. I’m hoping that we could get a good downpour as our rainfall deficit is now around 4 inches. I cannot wait until I could say that we are above normal. With the fading of La Nina and the possibility of an El Nino developing in the Pacific, our rainfall potential may increase later this year. Let’s keep our fingers crossed. I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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