Archive for November, 2008

A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION ON SATURDAY BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS… SUNDAY SHOULD BE NICE BUT COOLER… HURRICANE PALOMA GAINS STRENGTH AS IT NEARS CUBA

After a cloudy and damp week, the sun came out on Friday and it was a welcome sight. A cold front will be crossing Hampton Roads on Saturday and it will most likely bring a few showers to some parts of the area. Saturday will by no means be a wash out, but if you are going to be outdoors, it won’t hurt to carry an umbrella. This cold front is connected to the large low pressure system that brought the near blizzard conditions to the Northern Plains. On Sunday, the front moves offshore and it really should be a nice day. Monday and Tuesday look decent but as we head into the mid-week period, the forecast gets a bit complicated. Clouds should be on the increase but there is uncertainty as to whether we will see any rain. I’ll have an update on Sunday. Hurricane Paloma has become a category 4 storm as it nears Cuba. The hurricane is moving slowly northeastward.

Leave a Comment

THE COASTAL STORM MOVES AWAY… THERE’S NO COLD AIR IN SIGHT… A SHOWER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND

The low pressure that has been crawling up the coast is going to finally move away on Thursday. This storm dumped very heavy rain over the Outer Banks of NC closing schools in some areas. Rain and strong winds spread northward into Hampton Roads dumping between one and two inches of rain here locally. I’ll have the total that fell in my backyard in my next post. Coastal flooding wasn’t that big of an issue with this storm. By Friday, it looks real nice and our wind speeds should drop off. A frontal system moves through over the weekend but the chance of rain seems quite low from this vantage point. A tropical depression has formed in the Western Caribbean Sea.┬áThis system shouldn’t be a threat to the US but I will have an update should anything change. Note that hurricane season ends on November 30th.

Leave a Comment

A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS FORECASTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE SE COAST… RAIN IS EXPECTED BEGINNING TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY LASTING INTO THURSDAY… THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW STRONG WILL OUR WINDS GET?

An inverted coastal trough off the SE Coast is forecasted to emerge into a low pressure center that may have a significant impact on Hampton Roads. As high pressure slowly fades northeastward from the New England Coast, the low is expected to┬ástrengthen and then slowly move northward. Rain is expected to begin Tuesday morning and continue through Thursday. We could get quite a bit of rain, expecially on Wednesday. The question that I see is how much wind will we get from this system? Looking a forecast models, the isobars seem pretty tightly packed so I think we’ll see strong winds although that is not in our current forecast from the NWS. The low lifts out to the northeast later in the week and as a result, our weather should improve by Friday. I would pay close attention to the local forecast as things could get quite nasty around here. Pleasure boaters should not venture out Tuesday through Thursday and maybe even Friday.

Leave a Comment

ACCORDING TO FORECASTERS, RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FOR ELECTION DAY… A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT COOLS US DOWN A BIT AND AN ONSHORE FLOW BRINGS IN CLOUDINESS

A backdoor cold front will move through on Sunday lowering temperatures a bit from what they were on Saturday. Wasn’t Saturday a beautiful day? Winds behind the cold front will blow from the NE and E and this may bring in some clouds from the ocean on Monday. Then, all eyes turn to a developing low pressure system that will strengthen near the Southeast Coastline. This low may bring us some wet weather on Tuesday but there is quite a bit of uncertainty as to how much rain will fall. The current projection is that areas to our south and east will see the most rain but we’ve seen in previous coastal storms that the trends became wetter to our north in some cases as the event drew closer. Now, with Tuesday being Election Day, this storm will have to be watched as unfortunately, wet weather may keep some folks from going out to vote. It shouldn’t, though, so make sure that you get out there and vote! We need the rain as we are facing a deficit around 4 inches at ORF. So, to sum it up, after a sunny Sunday, clouds will dominate Monday and Tuesday with an increasing chance of showers.

Leave a Comment