Archive for September, 2008

BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND… MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDES… COULD THERE BE A MAJOR NOR’EASTER NEXT WEEK?

High pressure to our north combined with a trough of low pressure offshore will cause breezy to windy conditions to last through the first part of the weekend. Coastal areas will be most affected with mostly cloudy skies and a sprinkle or shower is possible. The sun may peak out at times along the coast but clouds should dominate on Saturday. Wave heights and tides will increase, also. Right now, forecasters think that the low will stay far enough offshore so that most of the rain will stay away from Hampton Roads. The high will be very slow to move away so we expect the same conditions into early next week but most likely the winds should ease a bit. Due to the northeasterly winds, temperatures will be very nice. Note that another high pressure will be moving into the same area off the New England Coast by the middle of next week. This combined with a stronger low pressure area may affect parts of the east coast late next week but we have plenty of time to fine tune the forecast. Some of the computer models have been hinting of a nor’easter type storm affecting the East Coast with rain and wind. One thing is fairly certain… our winds are going to be out of the north and northeast for much of the next several days. That means that there won’t be any really warm weather to speak of. I’ll have an update on Sunday.

Leave a Comment

BREEZY CONDITIONS ROUND OUT THE WORK WEEK… SUNSHINE EXPECTED BUT CLOUDS WON’T BE FAR AWAY

High pressure building to our north combined with developing low pressure offshore will cause breezy conditions on Friday and into the weekend. Coastal areas will be most affected. Wave heights will increase also. Right now, forecasters think that the low will stay far enough offshore so that all the rain will stay away from Hampton Roads. Coastal areas have a slight chance of a shower over the weekend. The high will be very slow to move away so we expect the same conditions into early next week. Due to the northeasterly winds, temperatures will be very nice. Note that a stronger storm may affect parts of the east coast late next week but we have plenty of time to fine tune the forecast. I’ll have a full, comprehensive post on Saturday.

Leave a Comment

CLOUDS DOMINATE ALONG WITH A COOL NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND… WHEN WILL THE SKIES FINALLY CLEAR?… THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET

The frontal boundary that moved through Hampton Roads on Monday stalled to our southeast and as waves of energy move up along the boundary, areas of rain developed. Parts of NC received some heavy rain on Tuesday which was most beneficial. On Tuesday, I picked up 0.30 inches in my backyard. Some forecasters didn’t think that there was going to be much in the way of rain today, but Mother Nature thought otherwise.  The front is going to slow to move away and actually it will dissipate slowly over the next few days. Our winds will be predominantly from the Northeast over the next several days so it will be cool. How much cloundiness we see is questionable. With high pressure to our north and general low pressure to our southeast, a fairly steep pressure gradient will develop producing a long fetch of fairly strong NE winds offshore. This should increase wave heights as we head towards the weekend. Rain chances should diminish after Wednesday.

Leave a Comment

HEAT AND HUMIDITY TO STICK AROUND THROUGH MONDAY… THEN, A COLD FRONT BRINGS A DRASTIC CHANGE IN CONDITIONS… A TRICKY FORECAST FOLLOWS THE FRONTAL PASSAGE

The forecast through Monday is rather simple… Hot and humid during the day and warm and muggy at night. A cold front should move through the Hampton Roads area Monday night which will bring huge changes to our weather. Our winds will switch to the north and then the northeast and that will put an end to the tropical like conditions. The forecast then gets quite difficult as a wave of low pressure is expected to move along the stalled frontal boundary to our south. This should cause some overrunning of moisture but the question is how far north will this moisture get? Will it get north of the VA/NC border? Right now, forecasters are not sure but have included the chance of showers on Tuesday and Wednesday. Meanwhile, the remnants of Ike are moving towards the Chicago area, which by the way has seen 7 inches of rain on Saturday. These remnants will never affect our region directly as the high nearby will steer the moisture from Ike well north and west of our region.  The tropics are quiet for now but we are still not out of the woods yet. The peak of hurricane season is September 10th so the Atlantic may still have some more activity before it’s all over.

Leave a Comment

HURRICANE IKE SLAMS THE TEXAS COAST… HEAT AND HUMIDITY RETURN TO HAMPTON ROADS… THE TROPICS STILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR DEVELOPMENT

Hurricane Ike is now inland and will weaken as it moves northward. The Houston and Galveston area took a direct hit from this monstrous category two storm. Initial reports show incredible flooding from storm surge as the shear size of this storm enabled it to muster up a huge surge of water well out ahead of the actual center. Parts of Galveston were flooded as early as Friday afternoon despite the center of the storm being over a hundred miles offshore. Houston’s tall buildings sustained damage from the strong winds. Remember, as you go up in altitude, the winds increase substantially. Heavy rain will cause significant flooding in some inland areas. Ike’s remnants will likely move around the periphery of a high pressure area that will be centered close to our area over the next few days. That will take the remants up into the Ohio Valley and then eventually the Northeastern states and Eastern Canada.  The aformentioned high pressure area will bring us some late summer heat and humidity. Record breaking temperatures are possible on Sunday. Then, a cold front will move into the region on Tuesday which should bring some thunderstorms. After the frontal passage, we will see a change to cooler conditions as the winds turn east or northeast. As high pressure moves offshore, conditions may become conducive for tropical cyclone development in the Western Atlantic later next week so stay tuned.  I’ll have another update on Sunday.

Leave a Comment