THE WEATHER SATURDAY SHOULD BE A NEARLY PERFECT WITH TEMPERATURES JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL… AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY
As the headline states, the weather on Saturday will be very nice but keep in mind that if you are going to the beach, there is a high risk for rip currents. Tropical Depression Julia is meandering off the coast of the Carolinas. It is expected to become a remnant low. Wind shear and dry air prohibited the storm from intensifying. It was a very unusual storm as it formed over land. A frontal system combined with increasing moisture coming in from the southeast will increase rain chances as we head through the day on Sunday. Sunday should be decent but clouds and eventually showers should overspread the region by Sunday night. Rain chances are higher on Monday and there may be a thunderstorm in some spots. Then, it appears that we will head into a period of quiet weather with mostly above normal temperatures.
In the tropical Atlantic, Tropical Storm Karl has sustained winds of 45 MPH as of this writing and is moving westward in the Central North Atlantic. Another area of concern has moved off the African coastline. Although we’ve see quite a few tropical cyclones develop, conditions in the Atlantic have not been favorable for intensification again this year. This is mostly due to dry air at the mid-levels of the atmosphere and wind shear. Water temperatures have been warm enough, but it proves that you need multiple conditions to come together to produce a hurricane. In addition, weaknesses in the ridge of high pressure that extends across the Atlantic have allowed the storms to curve north and then northeast going harmlessly out to sea. High pressure to a storm’s north keeps the storms moving on a westerly track. The Cape Verde season (tropical cyclone development in the eastern Atlantic) will be ending soon, so time will be running out if we are going to see a long tracked hurricane move westward across the Atlantic. As we head into October, tropical cyclone development shifts westward towards the area of the Caribbean Sea.
That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!