TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL FOR A FEW DAYS… A WARM-UP IS EXPECTED BY MID-WEEK… RAIN CHANCES INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEK

Astronomical Spring arrived at 6:45 PM EDT yesterday (Friday). On this day, the direct sun rays crossed the Equator into the northern hemisphere. This is called the Vernal Equinox. The length of daylight is approximately the same as the length of darkness. However, the length of daylight is now rapidly increasing with each passing day. The weather over the next few days will not be very spring-like as a northerly to northeasterly flow of air will keep us cooler than normal. A low pressure system is expected to pass south of us later Sunday and, as of now, is only expected to bring us clouds. The upper-level flow is forecast to become zonal which basically means that the upper-level winds will be blowing predominately from the west to east. Temperatures will trend upwards as we get to mid-week. As it looks now, any wet weather should hold off until Thursday as a frontal system is expected to move into our neck of the woods by then…. I wanted to mention also that many areas in the Northern Mid-Atlantic States and the Northeast saw accumulating snow yesterday. Now that it is spring and the angle of the sun is higher along with the increased hours of daylight, the snow cover won’t last that long up there. We picked up around a half inch of rain yesterday in my neighborhood. It was a very dreary, damp day. That’s it for now. Have a great rest of your weekend!

Leave a Comment

THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE PLEASANT… DURING THE WEEK AHEAD, A COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED DURING THE MID-WEEK PERIOD… RAIN IS LIKELY AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK

A low pressure system brought around a half inch of rain on Saturday to my neighborhood. Today (Sunday) we’ll see plenty of sunshine with near seasonal temperatures. The week ahead will start off on the mild side but a cold front is expected to bring a return to below normal temperatures during the mid-week period. Then, a low pressure system may bring a chance of rain later in the week. With the warmer temperatures, it’s nice to see the grass start to turn green again. Spring is less than a week away but winter weather will try to make a return to some parts of the Northeast and Mid-West later in the week. That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Leave a Comment

AFTER A CHILLY START, THE WEEKEND IS SHAPING UP TO BE RATHER NICE WITH A WARMING TREND SETTING IN… RAIN IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY… AND FOR THE FIRST TIME IN QUITE A WHILE, NO ARCTIC AIR MASSES ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES

Are you ready for spring? I know I am. With the exception of a day or two here and there, we here in Hampton Roads have had temperatures that have been below normal for several weeks. It appears that the weather pattern is finally going to change. The upper-level winds have been diving down into the U.S. from the Arctic bringing down one bitterly cold air mass after another, but that is about to change. Even though we are starting our Saturday with very cold temperatures, the combination of sunshine and light SW winds as a result of a large high pressure system over the region should allow temperatures to rise into the upper-forties in most spots with some areas reaching 50 degrees or more. Keep in mind that the average high temperature for this day (March 7th) is 55 degrees so most of us will still be below normal today. On Sunday, as the high pressure system slowly moves offshore, our temperatures should rise well into the fifties. A low pressure system is expected to develop along the Gulf Coast over the next few days. This system will bring us a good chance of rain on Tuesday. Frozen precipitation is not expected with this system. Another low pressure system may affect our region on Friday or Saturday but that is not certain at this time… Don’t forget to set your clocks ahead one hour on Sunday as we begin Daylight Savings Time. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

Leave a Comment

ANOTHER ARCTIC AIR MASS MOVES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS WEEKEND… WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH SEVERAL CHANCES OF RAIN

After a brutal period of Arctic cold and snow, the weather pattern is about to change (finally) which will bring warmer temperatures along with some rain. However, we have to get through another Arctic air mass, which will move into Hampton Roads this afternoon. According to meteorologists, temperatures on Saturday will probably not get above the freezing point. There might be a snow shower/flurry this afternoon mostly north of I-64. The snow and ice from our last storm will be slow to melt, but keep in mind that the sun is getting stronger with each passing day, so even though temperatures will be chilly, some melting will occur in areas that receive sunshine. Refreezing will be an issue once the sun goes down so be mindful of black ice. The next low pressure system to affect our region will come on Monday, but it will track to our north. Remember the general rule: If a low pressure system tracks north of our region, we normally receive mostly rain. Areas well to our north over the Mid-West and Northeast may receive significant snowfall early next week. The upper-level wind pattern next week is expected to favor milder weather with several weather systems moving across the nation. Will we return to below normal temperatures after next week’s warm up? The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting colder than normal temperature for a large portion of the Eastern U.S. during the second week of March, but we are getting closer to spring so hopefully that doesn’t mean more snow and ice. That forecast could change since it is so far out in the future. The first day of astronomical spring is just three weeks away! That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Leave a Comment

METEOROLOGISTS FACE A VERY CHALLENGING FORECAST AS A MAJOR WINTER STORM MOVES INTO THE REGION

Forecast computer models are being put to the test the past several days during this extremely active weather pattern that we’ve been in and they are having difficulty producing reliable forecasts. Tuesday’s snowstorm was an example of this as snow was not predicted the day before by most sources. The cold front that moved through was supposed to move far enough off the coast to not allow snow to fall in our area when a weak area of low pressure moved along the front. Drier air was supposed to prevail and only areas to our south and east were supposed to have a chance of precipitation. As we all know, snow began falling Tuesday afternoon in all of Hampton Roads and it picked up in intensity late in the afternoon causing numerous problems on our area roadways. It took me over three hours to drive home, which is approximately a 25 mile commute that normally takes me a little less than an hour to drive. Temperatures hovered in the middle twenties, which made the snow stick to most surfaces. Even roadways that were treated had issues… Now, attention has turned to a low pressure system developing near the Gulf Coast. This is a very difficult forecast with so many cancellations and closings at stake on Thursday. The models have trended further northward with this system which does two things. It brings more precipitation to our region. It also brings the rain/snow line further north closer to Hampton Roads. However, the current thinking among most meteorologists is that we should be just cold enough to see significant snow accumulations in most of Hampton Roads overnight into Thursday morning. Please read my Weather Fact “Predicting Snow in Hampton Roads… Why is it so Challenging?” Areas just to our north and west should see the most snow, possibly totaling near a foot in some places if everything falls into place with the forecast. Just to our south and east, if enough rain and/or sleet mixes in, accumulations should only be in the 1 to 3 inch range if the current forecast is correct. Either way, precipitation should taper off during the late morning/early afternoon hours. In addition, winds will increase as the low pressure system intensifies off the coast. That’s it for now. Please be safe out there!

Leave a Comment