A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY (SATURDAY) AS RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES… RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY… DRY AND SEASONAL WEATHER WILL START THE WORKWEEK

A complex low pressure system will bring wet conditions to the Hampton Roads area today. A Flood Watch is in effect for the region, with the exception of the Eastern Shore. Inland areas that had snow last week may be more susceptible to flooding. Areas of fog are reducing visibility this morning. The combination of an upper-level trough of low pressure to our west and the frontal system moving into the region will bring the rain/showers. This system is very different from the storm system that brought rain and snow last week. It’s a much warmer system as winds will be mostly from a southerly direction today. Winds won’t be as strong as they were last week. The wind direction will switch to the west on Sunday, which will bring drier air into the region, but there still could be an isolated shower in spots. Monday should be very nice with mild temperatures. A cold front will bring colder conditions on Tuesday. That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS LIKELY IN PARTS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA… FOR HAMPTON ROADS, THE FORECAST CALLS FOR MOSTLY RAIN… WINDS MAY GUST TO NEAR 40 MPH, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST… CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER MONDAY

A low pressure system tracking E-NE is expected to bring a major snowfall for the western portions of North Carolina and Virginia. Some of the higher elevations of North Carolina may get upwards of 18 inches of snow! In Hampton Roads, it looks like we will see mostly rain with possibly some snow or sleet mixed in, especially over the western Tidewater area. A wind flow off of the water, which is relatively milder than the land, will almost guarantee that precipitation will be in the liquid form along the coast. Winds may gust to near 40 MPH in areas closer to the ocean and bay. Dry air to the north associated with high pressure will cause a sharp cutoff of precipitation. In western Virginia, there will areas that receive heavy snowfall while just a few miles to the north, there will only be light accumulations. Where that precipitation cutoff line sets up is still uncertain as computer models have been unable to come to an agreement. Also, individual models have been waffling back and forth. If you live in the affected areas, you should monitor the forecast very closely throughout the day today. This storm system will not be turning up the coast, like many others do. It will head out to sea as it intensifies. Had this been mid-January, I think that Hampton Roads may have received more snow, but ocean temperatures are still a little too warm. Minor coastal flooding and beach erosion will also be an issue as the storm intensifies. On Monday, the storm will depart and conditions will improve, but it will still be quite windy. Milder weather is expected later in the week. That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a wonderful weekend!

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THIS WEEKEND WILL FEATURE NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS… NEXT WEEK LOOKS NICE WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND

After the unseasonably warm weather that we’ve seen the past few days, we’re in for a period of rather seasonable temperatures for a change. A cold front and a weak low pressure area are slowly approaching the Hampton Roads area. Saturday should be nice with some cloudiness and only a slight chance of a shower. As the front approaches and a coastal trough develops overnight, there may be a shower or two overnight, but the highest chances of rain will be to our south and east. Sunday probably won’t be too bad, but there will be a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. According to the NWS, severe weather isn’t likely on Sunday, but any storm could have a brief downpour and gusty winds. Once the frontal system moves offshore on Monday, cooler air moves into the region. Another upper-level disturbance may bring a shower on Monday, but it’s not expected to widespread or heavy. Then, we’re in for another period of mainly dry weather with a slow warming trend.

That’s it for now. Enjoy the weekend!

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MILDER WEATHER MOVES BACK INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS WEEKEND… SATURDAY LOOKS GREAT FOR LATE JANUARY… SUNDAY WILL BE WET AND THE WET WEATHER MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY… WILL WE SEE THE WHITE STUFF ON TUESDAY?

The combination of high pressure moving offshore and an approaching cold front is pumping in mild air from the south on this Saturday. Temperatures should peak around 60 degrees. Clouds will slowly be increasing later Saturday. Showers begin to move into SE VA later Saturday night. Showers become widespread on Sunday and some moderate to heavy rainfall is possible in some locations, especially as we head into Sunday night. Low pressure is expected to develop to our south and west and move up along the cold front that will be slowly moving offshore. It slowly dries out on Monday, but the slow moving system may keep it wet during the morning hours. Then, as colder air moves in later Monday and Tuesday, an upper-level system may bring snow showers to the region on Tuesday. Accumulations are possible, but it is too early to nail down any specifics. At the present time, it looks like a minor snow event but with temperatures in the low to mid thirties, any snow that falls may stick. As we know, it doesn’t take a heavy snowfall here in Hampton Roads to create issues on our area roadways. So, monitor the situation as it gets closer. Rainfall amounts are expected to be one to two inches Sunday through Monday. After the cold spell early next week, temperatures are expected to get milder later in the week. However, another Arctic air mass may affect our region next weekend. The front may bring more precipitation next Friday or Saturday. That’s it for now. Have a great weekend!

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A MAJOR CHANGE TO THE WEATHER PATTERN IS COMING BY MID-WEEK… MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY

After a benign period of weather the past few weeks, things are about to change in a big way. By Thursday, December 7th, temperatures are expected to be well below normal here in the Mid-Atlantic States as a strong cold front will usher in much colder air. There is going to be a warmup prior to the front early in the week. A change in the upper-level wind configuration is expected to produce a large trough over the eastern half of the nation. This is a dip in the jet stream that will bring down colder air. For the last few weeks, the upper-level winds have been basically blowing west to east which resulted in a very quiet and dry weather pattern. Showers are expected to accompany the cold front as it moves through the region on Wednesday. This should be the first significant rainfall for the Hampton Roads area in several weeks. Areas well to our north and west may see some snowflakes as the precipitation ends. I checked the longer range projections and it appears as of now that temperatures are expected to remain at or below normal for quite some time in the Northeast and parts of the Mid-Atlantic States. Only time will tell whether that forecast is correct. There is a chance as the front stalls well to our south and east that a low pressure area will develop by the weekend bringing another period of rain but that is not a certainty as of now.  So, enjoy the pleasant autumn weather this weekend and early next week! Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

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